By Martin Hartley Jones
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As August 1982 approached, interest rates had started downward and inflation had started to subside. President Reagan pushed through tax legislation that included a new assortment of retirement savings incentives for individuals and small businesses. Transportation deregulation, more free trade, and increased government spending in technology and defense sectors added to the story. The result was a long-awaited shift of capital from real estate and fixed assets into stocks. The “bull run,” which was to last almost 18 years with a few short interruptions, had begun.
The kind of analysis done by professional Wall Street analysts? qxp 12 2/21/08 4:03 PM Page 12 Part I: The What and Why of Value Investing It’s a good question, and becoming a better one as the tech boom and its excesses fade into history. Analysts in those days were too focused on stock prices and the general “buzz” about an industry, and were often too influenced by their peers. com, which turned out to be far too optimistic (and indeed at the time of this writing, still is). Basic investment analysis should start with an analysis of business fundamentals — the metrics and measures that define business performance, like profitability, productivity, and capital structure.
Alternatives Price should equal value Yield vs. alternatives, risk profile Sometimes. Income can be part of the value equation. Speculation Events, probability of occurrence Usually none Reward vs. qxp 18 2/21/08 4:03 PM Page 18 Part I: The What and Why of Value Investing The Value Investing Style We’ve stated it before: Value investing is a style of investing. It’s an approach to investing. You, as an investor, will adopt some of the principles presented here, but not all of them. You will develop a style and system that works for you, and the knowledge available in the rest of this book will contribute to your style.